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LDM Input Page - A Tutorial


This is the "look and feel" of the model's input page (scroll down). It is the one and only page where data is entered - that is unless you choose to use the take off page to pencil in some field notes before going digital. Links are used to jump around the website to describe and illustrate how the model works, so use your browser's back button.

Data entry is really very easy. A couple times through and you will have it, we promise! The input page is the one and only page for data entry? More specifically, the input column is the one and only column that data is entered. Go ahead and scroll down this column on the webpage - the white fields are the entry points.

The land development components such as number of phases, number of lots, average sale price of lots, and so on down the line are displayed in the second column of the input page. The components are categorized under headings such as lots and phases, land cost, timing of land purchases, options, and project type. See list of components.

The prompt column is where directing, correcting, and model consistency prompts assist you in the data entry process. For instance, note that line 8 in the prompt column (a correcting prompt) indicates '< OK'. This is because line 4 and line 8 of the input column are equal, or consistent. Had they not been, the prompt would have been '< Error, lines 4 and 8 must be equal'. Click here to see how prompts direct data input and alert you to entry errors and model inconsistencies.

The output tables and schedules column is where you navigate to model results such as annual profit and cash flow tables, a project summary table, a profit by phase table, etc. Simply click on the output you wish to see and you will be there. Click to go to the model output page.
                                                   
There are three field-clearing macros and one auto-entry macro incorporated to the input page. Although it is not mandatory to enable them, they make data entry easier and more efficient. One of the field-clearing macros clears all model input with one click on the clear all variables button. Another clears absorption and interest rate entries, thereby enhancing 'what-if' analysis. The third one clears entries for total acres and acres per phase. Finally, the auto-entry macro inserts the four typical lender requirements to the model. Of course you can manually alter these auto entries, depending on actual lender requirements. One thing we assure you, the convenience of the macros will become self-evident as you conduct 'what-if' analysis on the many land development components and begin to routinely save various project scenarios. 


Project Type


The model allows for analysis of one, two, or three phases, as well as the analysis of land options. Of course the land purchased for a one phase project cannot be optioned. If you are considering a two phase project, the land for both phases can be purchased at once (such as the sample here, 2 Phase - No Option), or an option can be negotiated for the phase two land. A three phase project has four possible land purchase possibilities. A drop down menu with the seven project types is provided on line 10 of the model. Click for a discussion of project types.

Scroll down to view other sections of the input page.    
                                                   
                                                                     
                                     Use Browser's Back Button Or Scroll Up To Return to Text
   

   Model Input Page       

       
   
   Land Development Component Column Input Column  Prompt Column      Output Tables  & Schedules Column    
Line #  Identification & Date  Use Tab Key To Bottom     Annual Profit Table    
               
1 Name of Project Oak Hollow < Enter Project Name     Annual Cash Flow Table    
2 Entry Date 7/1/2009 < Enter Date          
            Project Summary Table    
  Lots & Phases              
          Profit By Phase     
3 # of Phases 2 < Enter 1, 2 or 3          
4 Total # of Lots 83 < Enter Total # of             Lots, All Phases     Lot Sale Schedule    
                 
5 # of Lots in Ph 1 38 < Enter # of Lots Ph 1     Key Variables    
6 # of Lots in Ph 2 45 < Enter # of Lots Ph 2          
7 # of Lots in Ph 3   < Make No Entry     Cash Inflow & Loan Reduction
   
8 Total # of Lots 83 < OK           
            Interest Calculation    
  Land Cost, Timing of Land Purchases, Options & Project Type    Clear All
Variables
 Button
     Takeoff Page    
               
9 Total Land Cost, All Phases $1,500,000 < Enter Total Land           Cost, All Phases          
           
   
10 Project Type 2 Phase - No Option < Enter Project Type    
   
11 Project Type ID 4 < OK          
               


 
Profit Measures & Ratios on LDM Input Page

Take a look at the profit summary section and the ratios and measures section on the right hand column of the input page. These sections are in easy eyeshot of the input column, allowing you to track the impact on revenue, cost of goods sold, interest, profitability, etc., as changes are made to land development components. Of course these measures, and many more, are displayed on the model's output pages, but also here, on the fly so to speak!

Scroll down to view other sections of the input page.
                              

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 Line # Estimated Sale Price of Lots By Phase  Input Column Prompt Column      Profit Summary     
          Gross Revenue  $6,085,000  
12 Ave SP of Ph 1 Lots $72,500 < Enter Ave SP Ph 1     Sales/Closing Costs  $  243,400  
13 Ave SP of Ph 2 Lots $74,000 < Enter Ave SP Ph 2     Net Revenue  $5,841,600  
14 Ave SP of Ph 3 Lots   < Make No Entry      Cost of Goods Sold   $4,095,000  
15 Ave SP, All Phases $73,313       Gross Profit  $1,746,600  
            Interest  $  197,985  
  Sale Costs         Profit Before Tax  $1,548,615  
           
16 % RE Commission 2.50% < Enter %                                
17 % Closing Costs 1.50% < Enter % Cost          
                 
  Development Cost (Incl All Costs Except Interest & Sale Costs)         Ratios & Measures    
          Gross Profit Margin 28.70%  
18 Ave Per Lot DC (Ph 1)  $30,000 < Per Lot Cost Ph 1     Profit Margin Bef Tax 25.45%
19 Ave Per Lot DC (Ph 2)  $32,000 < Per Lot Cost Ph 2     Land Cost/Total Rev  24.65%  
20 Ave Per Lot DC (Ph 3)   < Make No Entry     ProjeAct      
            R PjjjAhhAA    
21 Ph 1 Permitting, Extraordinary Costs, Adjustments, etc. $15,000 < Enter $ Amount          (Not Per Lot Amt)             Duration of Project in Years 3.71
 
22 Ph 2 Permitting, Extraordinary Costs, Adjustments, etc.   < If App, Enter $ Amt      (Not Per Lot Amt)       AverageAverage
   
23 Ph 3 Permitting, Extraordinary Costs, Adjustments, etc.   < Make No Entry     R A    
Average Annual Return on Equity
63.54%



Construction & Holding Period

The duration of the initial construction period has a significant impact on project profitability. The shorter the construction period, the more profitable the project. In other words, the shorter the construction period the faster you can begin the business of selling  lots. However, the developer often has little control over this component. Construction may be delayed for a variety of reasons - weather conditions, permitting issues, material shortages, contractor problems, and so on. The construction and holding period can be adjusted from one to eleven months. See lines 24 through 27 below.


Absorption Rate

The absorption rate is probably the most important land development component. If lots do not sell, the project is doomed. We assure you, measurement of the effect on profit as the absorption rate is modified should routinely be used in 'what-if' analysis. Note that the model calculates the minimum absorption rate. See lines 28 through 29 below (Macro provided).


Interest Rate Trend

The interest rate that accompanies an acquisition and development loan generally is tied to a published rate such as the prime rate. The model allows the user to factor the interest rate trend, up, down, or flat, into the profitability estimate.  See lines 30 through 34 below.  


Scroll down to view other sections of the input page.

                                                                       
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  Line #     Input Column  Prompt Column        
 
  Before changing month below, click the          
  Construction/Holding Period & Absorption Clear Absorption & Rates' macro >        
             
24 Mo of Initial Land Purchase August < OK        
25 Mo of First Lot Sale November < OK        
26 Construction & Holding Period in Months 3          
27 # of Sale Months in Year #1 2          
    Before changing absorption click the      
    Clear Absorption & Rates' macro >      Clear Absorption & Rates Button
28 Absorption Rate Per Month  2 < OK        
29 Absorption Rate is:   < OK        
    Minimum Absorption Requirement > 0.76        
    After changing absorption, re-enter          
    the 'Interest Rates' below           
  Acquisition & Development Loan            
               
30 Interest Rate
(Months 1-12)
8.00% < OK        
31 Interest Rate
 (Months 13-24)
7.00% < OK        
32 Interest Rate
(Months 25-36)
6.00% < OK        
33 Interest Rate
(Months 37-48)
5.00% < OK      
34 Interest Rate
(Months 49-60)
  < Make No          Entry        



Lender Requirements

Most land developments are financed with a bank loan. Naturally banks have a set of lender requirements upon which the loan is based. For instance, they will require that the loan is entirely paid off by the time a certain percentage of lots are sold. They will require that a certain percentage of the revenue from each lot sale be applied to loan reduction. They will require the developer to contribute, in cash and/or subordinated loans, a certain percentage of the initial cost of the project. Another way to say this is, the bank will lend up to a certain percentage of the initial cost of the project. And finally, in the case of a phased project with no option agreement(s), the bank will lend a certain percentage on residual land (land purchased up front by the developer to be used for future phases. See lines 35 through 38  (Macro provided).

Seller Financing

Many times it is difficult for a developer to come up with the entire initial cash requirement. This problem can, and often is, resolved if the landowner agrees to provide seller financing. The model allows for analysis of seller financing on lines 40 through 45.


Owner Taxes (Non-Mandatory Entries)

One of the model assumptions is that the developer's ownership is in the form of a pass-through entity (i.e., S-Corp, LLC). As such the entity is not taxed, but project income flows through to the owner personally and is taxed at his or her marginal tax rate. If multiple developer/owners are involved with the project, each owner is taxed at his or her marginal rate under his or her preferred or required filing status. But no matter what the investors filing status or percentage ownership, all owners deal with profit before tax. With this in mind, the focus most often will be on the before tax numbers generated by the model.

The model allows owners to calculate individual tax liability by entering applicable percentage ownership and filing status on lines 46A and 46B.  Note that entries on lines 46A and 46B are not mandatory. They simply provide a way for individual owners to estimate income taxes. To view output for an individual owner, married filing jointly, with a 35 percent ownership in the sample project, go to the owner tax calculation page. 


Scroll down to view the last section of the input page.

                                                                       
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 Line # Acquisition & Development Loan  Input Column  Prompt Column      
 Enter Typical
 Lender
Requirements
 Button 
(Modify line 36 to approximate
# of Lots)
# Lots
35 A&D Loan Paid Off When This % of Lots Are Sold 75.00% < 75% is Typical     Lender Requires A&D Loan(s) Paid  > 62.25  
36 % of Proceeds To Mtg Reduction 85.00% < 80% is Typical     Model Result  > 60  
37 Min % Req of Developer (Cash or Subord Mtg) 25.00% < 25% is Typical          
38 Max % Loan on Residual Land 65.00% < 65% is Typical          
                 
  Target Profit Margin              
  (Entry Not Mandatory for Profit Calculation)              
               
39 Target Profit Margin Before Tax (% of Revenue) 20.00% < Enter Target Profit            Margin          
                 
  Seller Financing              
               
40 Seller Financing, Yes or No? Yes < Yes or No          
41 If Yes, Amount of Seller Financing $500,000 < Enter Amount          
42 If Yes, Amount Must Be Less Than:                   $745,075            
43 If Yes, Interest Rate 5.00% < Enter % Rate          
44 If Yes, Term of Seller Financing in Months 36 < Enter Term of Loan          
45 If Yes, Line 44 Must Be Less Than Line 45  46 < OK      Owner Tax    
             OOwner OOTax    
  Individual Owner Tax
(Entries Not Mandatory)
      Owner Tax Calculation
Profit Bef Tax (Project)
 $1,548,615  
             Profit Bef Tax (Owner)  $  542,015  
46A % Ownership
35% < Enter % Ownership      Tax (Owner)  $  105,161  
 46B   Filing Status Married Jointly  < Enter Filing Status      Profit After Tax (Owner)  $  436,854  





Non-Mandatory Entries

Total acres and acres per phase are not mandatory input entries. This is to say that the profit and cash flow calculations will be unaffected if entries are not made here. The project summary table is enhanced, however, if entries are made on lines 47 and 49 through 53 because revenue, cost and profit items are reduced to a per acre basis (See last column of the project summary table). Talk of per acre prices is commonplace in the land business, but price per lot is actually a much more important measure.        


Model Consistency Section

The model consistency section of the model is useful because it alerts you to inconsistencies as well as entry and non-entry errors. It also prompts and directs you as to how to correct the inconsistencies. See lines 57 through 71 below. The answers to all these questions must be 'Yes' or 'N/A' or you have made one or more entry errors.

We have made a few deliberate entry errors in the sample project so you can observe how this important portion of the model works. Click here to see the prompt column and model consistency section at work! 

                                                                             
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 Line # Total Acres, Acres/Phase  Input Column   Prompt Column          
  (Entries Not Mandatory for Profit Calculation)            
                 
47 Acres in Entire Project 54 < Enter Total Acres          
                 
48 If No Option Agreements, Total Acres 54 < Total Acres    Clear Acres Button      
49 Acres in Phase 1    < Make No Entry          
50 Acres in Ph 1 & Ph 2 Combined   < Make No Entry          
51 Acres in Phase 2    < Make No Entry          
52 Acres in Ph 2 & Ph 3 Combined    < Make No Entry          
53 Acres in Phase 3    < Make No Entry      
   
54 Acres in Entire Project 54 < OK          
                 
55 Beg Balance of A&D Loan $754,925            
56 Cash To Project By Developer/Investor $245,075        Avg Annual ROE  70.08%  
                 
                 
  Model Consistency?               
                 
57 Is Model Free from 'Make No Entry' Errors? Yes
Model Consistency Results
         
58 Profit & Cash Flow Indicators' Consistent? Yes
Must be 'Yes' or 'N/A'. 
         
59 Total Lots & Total Acres Consistent? Yes
If this is not the case,  
         
60 If Applicable, is the Amt of Seller Financing OK? Yes
observe the prompts.  
         
61 If Applicable, is the Term of Seller Financing OK? Yes            
62 Are Entries Made to All Required Fields? Yes            
63 Are Absorption and Project Duration in Line? Yes            
64 Does Absorption Meet Model Parameters? Yes            
65 Is the Project Completed Within 5 Years? Yes            
66 Are Loans Paid Off By End of Project? Yes            
67 Are Interest Calculations Consistent? Yes            
68 Is a Target Profit Entered (Non-Mandatory Entry)? Yes            
69 Are Total Acres Consistent (Non-Mandatory Section)? Yes            
70 Are Total Acres Entered (Non-Mandatory)? Yes            
71 Is Sum of Total Acres Consistent (Non-Mandatory)? Yes To Top          
                 





If you wish to ask us a question about the model, 'Contact Us' and we will get back to you as soon as possible.


That's it! You now have learned how the model's input page works. Now spend a few minutes looking at the ouput tables, schedules, and reports that are generated when the land development components are entered to the input page. To do that, go to the model output page.

Or, if you have seen enough and would like to purchase the LDM, click the 'Buy Now' link below, and remember, the purchase is totally refundable if you are not 100 percent satisfied.


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Medina, OH 44256
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